The Fall 2020 meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU) starts tomorrow, December 1st, 2020, featuring many presentations related to the Unified Forecast System (UFS). Talks, posters, and town halls representing UFS Community members’ works describe new hurricane, marine, coastal, and coupled models, verification and validation approaches, physics parameterizations, and forecast products. Here are some highlights.
Town Halls
The first UFS-related event in the AGU meeting is hosted this Wednesday, December 2nd, at 10am ET: the Town Hall NOAA’s Unified Forecast System Research to Operations Project (UFS-R2O). The Town Hall will present the new NOAA-funded UFS community project that is focused on the development of the next-generation regional and global forecast systems, and the transition from the UFS community development into NOAA operations. NOAA program managers and Project Lead Vijay Tallapragada will present project plans, progress and opportunities for community engagement with the Project. In particular, there is opportunity to collaborate with model development and validation/verification of these near-ready forecast systems. An interactive portion is reserved for discussion between attendees and panelists.
A second Town Hall promoted by UFS Community members will happen on Thursday, December 10th, starting at 10am ET: the NOAA Modeling Forum. The event has featured in the latest five AGU Fall meetings to socialize model development and receive community input. This year’s forum will focus on the progress made by developing a Unified Forecast System (UFS) for community model development and research and operational use at NOAA. Organizers of the town hall expect to discuss UFS progress and partnerships with the research community.
Talks
UFS Community members will speak at the following oral presentations.
Wednesday, December 9th.
- Stability of NN Emulations of Long- and Short-wave Radiation Parameterizations in a GCM (Invited), by Alexei Belochitski, at 10am ET.
Friday, December 11th.
- The Transition of Global Ensemble Forecast System to Fully Coupled Earth System Model for Subseasonal Predictions, by Bing Fu, 7:30am ET.
- Wildfire Impacts in Air Quality Prediction, by Ivanka Stajner, at 8:58am ET.
- Development of Unified Forecast System (UFS) based Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS) for NCEP operations: Strategies for Research to Operations (R2O), by Vijay Tallapragada, at 11:30pm ET.
- Evaluating Model Physics in the Unified Forecast System (UFS) Medium-Range Weather Application, by Ligia Bernardet, at 1:48pm ET.
- Analysis and Mitigation of Occasional Precipitation-Type Problems in NCEP Global Forecast System, by Weizhong Zheng, at 2pm ET.
Tuesday, December 15th.
- Coupled Seasonal to Subseasonal Model Development within NOAA’s Unified Forecasting System, by Lydia Stefanova, 8:30am ET.
Wednesday, December 16th.
- The Hierarchical Testing of Noah-MP as a Candidate Land Model for the Unified Forecast System, by Michael Barlage, at 9am ET.
- Large Scale Unstructured WAVEWATCH III for Hurricane Hindcasts: Offshore and Nearshore Validation, by Autumn Poisson, at 10:08am ET.
- Impacts of Wave-Coupling in the Unified Forecast System Seasonal to Subseasonal Model, by Jessica Meixner, at 10:12am ET.
Thursday, December 17th.
- Unified stochastic uncertainty representation in the NOAA Unified Forecast System (UFS), by Jian-Wen Bao, at 8:50am ET.
Posters
On Monday, December 7th, the AGU kicks off its poster sessions. On display that day, several posters from the UFS Community will be on display.
- Implementation of a CCPP-compliant Physics-package into the EMC’s FV3 Whole Atmosphere Model
- Extratropical Surge & Tide Operational Forecast System (ESTOFS): Global Upgrade, Future Development, Pacific Enhancement
- The NCEP FV3 Whole Atmospheric Modeling for UFS Space Weather Application
- Coastal Ocean Modelling Infrastructure Development at the NOAA National Ocean Service in Support of Disaster Mitigation and Marine Navigation
UFS-related posters in subsequent days are presented as follows.
Tuesday, December 8th.
Thursday, December 10th.
Friday, December 11th.
- Development and Evaluation of a Volcanic Ash Ensemble Forecasting System Using the NOAA HYSPLIT Model
- Complex Numerical Simulation of the U.S. East Coast and Inland Areas using a Coupled Hydrologic, Hydrodynamic and Ocean model: Application to Hurricane Sandy
Wednesday, December 16th.
